Abstract
Land use change models are tools to support the analysis of the causes and consequences of land use dynamics. Scenario analysis with land use models can support land use planning and policy. Numerous land use models are available, developed from different disciplinary backgrounds. This paper reviews current models to identify priority issues for future land use change modelling research. This discussion is based on six concepts important to land use modelling: (1) Level of analysis; (2) Cross-scale dynamics; (3) Driving forces; (4) Spatial interaction and neighbourhood effects; (5) Temporal dynamics; and (6) Level of integration. For each of these concepts an overview is given of the variety of methods used to implement these concepts in operational models. It is concluded that a lot of progress has been made in building land use change models. However, in order to incorporate more aspects important to land use modelling it is needed to develop a new generation of land use models that better address the multi-scale characteristics of the land use system, implement new techniques to quantify neighbourhood effects, explicitly deal with temporal dynamics and achieve a higher level of integration between disciplinary approaches and between models studying urban and rural land use changes. If these requirements are fulfilled models will better support the analysis of land use dynamics and land use policy formulation.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Agarwal C., Green G.M., Grove J.M., Evans T.P., Schweik C.M. (2001). A Review and Assessment of Land-Use Change Models. Dynamics of Space, Time, and Human Choice. Bloomington and South Burlington, Center for the Study of Institutions, Population, and Environmental Change, Indiana University and USDA Forest Service. CIPEC Collaborative Report Series 1
M. Aitkin D. Anderson J. Hinde (1981) ArticleTitleStatistical modelling of data on teaching styles (with discussion) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A. 144 148–161
M. Alberti P. Waddell (2000) ArticleTitleAn integrated Urban development and ecological simulation model Integrated Assessment 1 215–227
J. Alcamo R. Leemans E. Kreileman (1998) Global Change Scenarios of the 21st Century Results from the IMAGE 2.1 Model Elsevier London
L. Anselin (1988) Spatial Econometrics: Methods and Models Kluwer Academic Publishers Dordrecht
Arentze T.A., Dijst M., Dugundji E., Joh C.-H., Kapoen L., Krijgsman S., Maat K., Timmermans H.J.P., Veldhuisen J. (2001). The AMADEUS Program: Scope and Conceptual Development. Paper presented at the WCTR Conference 2001, Seoul, Korea
T.A. Arentze H.J.P. Timmermans (2000) Albatross, A Lerning Based Transportation Oriented Simulation System, European Institute of Retailing and Service Studies Eindhoven University Eindhoven
O. Barreteau F. Bousquet (2000) ArticleTitleSHADOC: a multi-agent model to tackle viability of irrigated systems Annals of Operations Research 94 139–162
K.P. Bell N.E. Bockstael (2000) ArticleTitleApplying the generalized-moments estimation approach to spatial problems involving microlevel data The Review of Economics and Statistics 82 IssueID1 72–82
T. Berger (2001) ArticleTitleAgent-based Spatial Models Applied to Agriculture: A Simulation Tool for Technology Diffusion, Resource Use Changes and Policy Analysis Agricultural Economics 25 245–260
R.E. Bilsborrow H.W.O. Okoth Ogondo (1992) ArticleTitlePopulation-driven changes in land use in developing countries Ambio 21 37–45
K. Bingsheng (1996) Regional inequality in rural development R. Garnaut G. Shutian M. Guonan (Eds) In The Third Revolution in the Chinese Countryside Cambridge University Press Cambridge 245–258
G. Blöschl M. Sivapalan (1995) ArticleTitleScale issues in hydrological modelling: a review Hydrological Processes 9 251–290
N.E. Bockstael (1996) ArticleTitleModeling economics and ecology: the importance of a spatial perspective American Journal of Agricultural Economics 78 1168–1180
Bockstael N.E., Irwin E.G. (2000). Economics and the Land Use-Environment Link. In: The International Yearbook of Environmental and Resource Economics 1999/2000. (Folmer H. and Tietenberg T., (eds)), Edward Elgar Publishing
F. Bousquet I. Bakam H. Proton C. Page ParticleLe (1998) ArticleTitleCormas: common-pool resources and multiagent systems Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence 1416 826–837
H. Briassoulis (2000) Analysis of land use change: theoretical and modeling approaches S. Loveridge (Eds) The Web Book of Regional Science West Virginia University Morgantown
H. Briassoulis (2001) ArticleTitlePolicy-oriented Integrated analysis of land-use change: an analysis of data needs Environmental Management 27 IssueID1 1–11
D.G. Brown P. Goovaerts A. Burnicki M.Y. Li (2002) ArticleTitleStochastic simulation of land-cover change using geostatistics and generalized additive models Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing 68 IssueID10 1051–1061
S. Bura F. Guerin-Pace H. Mathian D. Pumain L. Sanders (1996) ArticleTitleMultiagent systems and the dynamics of a settlement system Geographical Analysis 28 161–178
Candau J. (2000). Calibrating a cellular automaton model of urban growth in a timely manner. In: Parks B.O., Clarke K.M. and Crane M.P. (eds.) Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Integrating Geographic Information Systems and Environmental Modeling: Problems, Prospects, and Needs for Research; 2000: Sep 2–8, University of Colorado, Boulder
K.M. Chomitz D.A. Gray (1996) ArticleTitleRoads, land use, and deforestation: a spatial model applied to belize The World Bank Economic Review 10 487–512
K.C. Clarke L.J. Gaydos (1998) ArticleTitleLoose-coupling a cellular automaton model and GIS: long-term urban growth prediction for San Fransisco and Washington/Baltimore International Journal of Geographical Information Science 12 699–714
J.S. Coleman (1990) Foundations of Social Theory The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press Cambridge
R. Conte R. Hegselmann P. Terna (1997) Simulating Social Phenomena Springer Berlin
R. Costanza (1989) ArticleTitleModel goodness of fit: a multiple resolution procedure Ecological Modelling 47 199–215
R. Costanza M. Ruth (1998) ArticleTitleUsing dynamic modeling to scope environmental problems and build consensus Environmental Management 22 183–195
R. Costanza L.A. Wainger (1993) ArticleTitleModeling complex ecological economic systems Bioscience 43 545–556
Cubert R.M. Goktekin T., Fishwick P.A. (1997). MOOSE: architecture of an object-oriented multimodeling simulation system. In: Proceedings of Enabling Technology for Simulation Science Orlando Society of Photo-optical Instrumentation Engineers, Orlando
V.H. Dale S.M. Pearson (1999) Modeling the driving factors and ecological consequences of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon D.J. Mladenoff W.L. Baker (Eds) Spatial Modeling of Forest Landscape Change. Approaches and Applications Cambridge University Press Cambridge
G.H.J. Koning Particlede A. Veldkamp L.O. Fresco (1998) ArticleTitleLand use in Ecuador: a statistical analysis at different aggregation levels Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 70 321–247
DIAS. (1995). The Dynamic Information Architecture System: a High Level Architecture for Modeling and Simulation. Advanced Computer Applications Center, Argonne National Laboratory http://www.dis.anl.gov/DEEM/DIAS/diaswp.html
S.R. Dovers (1995) ArticleTitleA framework for scaling and raming policy problems in sustainability Ecological Economics 12 93–106
G. Dupuy (1991) L’urbanisme des reseaux: theories et methodes Armand Colin Paris
G. Engelen R. White I. Uljee P. Drazan (1995) ArticleTitleUsing cellular automata for integrated modelling of socio-environmental system Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 34 203–214
W. Fan F. Treyz G. Treyz (2000) ArticleTitleAn evolutionary new economic geography model Journal of Regional Science 40 671–695
G. Fischer L.X. Sun (2001) ArticleTitleModel based analysis of future land-use development in China Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85 163–176
H.C. Fitz E. DeBellevue R. Costanza R. Boumans T. Maxwell L.A. Wainger F. Sklar (1996) ArticleTitleDevelopment of a general ecosystem model for a range of scales and ecosystems Ecological Modelling 88 263–295
R.H. Gardner (1998) Pattern, process, and the analysis of spatial scales D.L. Peterson V.T. Parker Particle34 (Eds) Ecological Scale: Theory and Applications Columbia University Press New York 17
Geist H.J., Lambin E.F., Vogel C., Sharifa M., Turner II B.L., Lansigan F.P., Reid R., Veldkamp A., Leemans R., McConnel W. and Serneels S., 2001: LUCC’s contribution for future IGBP research: a position paper of the IGBP-IHDP LUCC (Land-Use and Land-Cover Change) Project. For use at the Scoping Team Meeting in Mainz, Germany, 26–27 October 2001, and in Fort Collins, USA, 21–23 January 2002
Geoghegan J., Pritchard, Jr.L., Ogneva-Himmelberger Y., Chowdhury R.R., Sanderson S. and Turner II B.L., 1998: ‘Socializing the Pixel’ and ‘Pixelizing the Social’ in land-use and land-cover change. In: Liverman D. Moran E.F., Rindfuss R.R., and Stern P.C., (eds.) People and Pixels: Linking Remote Sensing and Social Science, National Academy Press, Washington
J. Geoghegan S.C. Villar P. Klepeis P.M. Mendoza Y. Ogneva-Himmelberger R.R. Chowdhury B.L. Turner SuffixII C. Vance (2001) ArticleTitleModeling Tropical Deforestation in the Southern Yucatán Peninsular Region: Comparing Survey and Satellite Data Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85 25–46
J. Geoghegan L.A. Wainger N.E. Bockstael (1997) ArticleTitleSpatial landscape indices in a hedonic framework: an ecological economics analysis using GIS Ecological Economics 23 251–264
C.C. Gibson E. Ostrom T.K. Anh (2000) ArticleTitleThe concept of scale and the human dimensions of global change: a survey Ecological Economics 32 217–239
H. Goldstein (1995) Multilevel Statistical Models Halstead New York
B.J. Goodwin L. Fahrig (1998) Spatial scaling and animal population dynamics D.L. Peterson V.T. Parker (Eds) Ecological Scale: Theory and Applications Columbia University Press New York 193–206
N.B. Grimm J.M. Grove T.A. Pickett C.L. Redman (2000) ArticleTitleIntegrated Approaches to Long-Term Studies of Urban Ecological Systems BioScience 50 IssueID7 571–584
Hiebler D., Strom M., Daniel T.C. (1994). The SWARM Simulation System and Individual-based Modeling. In: Decision Support 2001: 17th Annual Geographic Information Seminar and Resource Technology ‘94 Symposium, Toronto pp. 474–494
R.J. Hijmans M.K. Ittersum ParticleVan (1996) ArticleTitleAggregation of spatial units in linear programming models to explore land use options Netherlands Journal of Agricultural Science 44 145–162
M. Hilferink P. Rietveld (1999) ArticleTitleLAND USE SCANNER: An integrated GIS based model for long term projections of land use in urban and rural areas Journal of Geographical Systems 1 155–177
Hoshino S. (1996). Statistical analysis of land-use change and driving forces in the Kansai District, Japan. WP-96–120. Laxenburg, IIASA. IIASA working papers
S. Hoshino (2001) ArticleTitleMultilevel modeling on farmland distribution in Japan Land Use Policy 18 75–90
E. Irwin J. Geoghegan (2001) ArticleTitleTheory, data, methods: developing spatially-explicit economic models of land use change Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85 7–24
H. Jansen J.J. Stoorvogel (1998) ArticleTitleQuantification of aggregation bias in regional agricultural land use models: application to Guacimo County, Costa Rica Agricultural Systems 58 417–439
M.A. Janssen W. Jager (2000) ArticleTitleThe human actor in ecological-economic models: Preface Ecological Economics 35 307–310
D.W. Jones (1983) ArticleTitleLocation, agricultural risk, and farm income diversification Geographical Analysis 15 231–246
D.W. Jones R.V. O’Neill (1992) ArticleTitleEndogenous environmental degradation and land conservation: agricultural land use in a region Ecological Economics. 6 79–101
Kaimowitz D. and Angelsen A., 1998: Economic Models of Tropical Deforestation – A Review., Bogor, Center for International Forestry Research
P. Kanaroglou D. Scott (2001) Integrated urban transportation and land-use models for policy analysis M. Dijst W. Schenkel I. Thomas (Eds) Governing Cities on the Move Avebury Aldershot UK
A.W. King A.R. Johnson R.V. O’Neill D.L. DeAngelis (1989) ArticleTitleUsing ecosystem models to predict regional CO2 exchange between the atmosphere and the terrestrial biosphere Global Biogeochemical Cycles 3 337–361
K. Kok A. Farrow A. Veldkamp P.H. Verburg (2001) ArticleTitleA method and application of multi-scale validation in spatial land use models Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85 223–238
K. Kok A. Veldkamp (2001) ArticleTitleEvaluating impact of spatial scales on land use pattern analysis in Central America Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85 205–221
E.F. Lambin (1997) ArticleTitleModelling and monitoring land-cover change processes in tropical regions Progress in Physical Geography 21 375–393
Lambin E.F., Baulies X., Bockstael N.E., Fischer G., Krug T., Leemans R., Moran E.F., Rindfuss R.R., Sato Y., Skole D., Turner II B.L. and Vogel C.Land-Use and Land-Cover Change (LUCC), Implementation Strategy. IGBP Report 48, IHDP Report 10., 2000. Stockholm, Bonn, IGBP, IHDP
E.F. Lambin M.D.A. Rounsevell H.J. Geist (2000) ArticleTitleAre agricultural land-use models able to predict changes in land-use intensity? Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 82 321–331
E.F. Lambin B.L. Turner SuffixII H.J. Geist S.B. Agbola A. Angelsen J.W. Bruce O. Coomes R. Dirzo G. Fischer C. Folke P.S. George K. Homewood J. Imbernon R. Leemans X.B. Li E.F. Moran M. Mortimore P.S. Ramakrishnan J.F. Richards H. Skanes G.D. Stone U. Svedin A. Veldkamp C. Vogel J.C. Xu (2001) ArticleTitleThe Causes of Land-Use and Land-Cover Change: Moving Beyond the Myths Global Environmental Change 11 IssueID4 261–269
J.D. Landis (1995) ArticleTitleImaging land use futures Journal of the American Planning Association 61 438–458
S.A. Levin (1998) ArticleTitleEcosystems and the Biosphere as Complex Adaptive Systems Ecosystems 1 431–436
X. Li A.G. Yeh (2000) ArticleTitleModelling sustainable urban development by the integration of constrained cellular automata and GIS International Journal of Geographical Information Science 14 131–152
X. Li A.G. Yeh (2002) ArticleTitleNeural-network-based cellular-automata for simulating multiple land use changes using GIS International Journal of Geographic Information Science 16 IssueID4 323–344
Lutz R., 1997: HLA Object Model Development: A Process View, Simulation Interoperability Workshop. Simulation INteroperability Standards Organization, Orlando http://siso.sc.ist.ucf.edu/siw/97spring/papers/010.pdf
Manson S.M., 2000: Agent-based dynamic spatial simulation of land-use/cover change in the Yucatán peninsula, Mexico. In: B.O. Clarke K.M. and Crane M.P., (eds.), Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Integrating Geographic Information Systems and Environmental Modeling: Problems, Prospects, and Needs for Research; 2000: Sep 2–8; Boulder Parks, University of Colorado, Boulder
C.J. McClean P.M. Watson R.A. Wadsworth J. Blaiklock J.R. O’Callaghan (1995) ArticleTitleLand Use Planning: a decision support system Journal of Environmental Planning and Management 1 77–92
McConnell W. and Moran E.F. Meeting in the Middle: The Challenge of Meso-Level Integration., 2001: Indiana University, LUCC Focus 1 Office, Anthropological Center for Training and Research on Global Environmental Change. LUCC Report Series 5
V. Meentemeyer (1989) ArticleTitleGeographical perspectives of space, time, and scale Landscape Ecology 3 163–173
B. Mertens E.F. Lambin (1997) ArticleTitleSpatial modelling of deforestation in Southern Cameroon Spatial disaggregation of diverse deforestation processes Applied Geography 17 143–162
B. Mertens E.F. Lambin (2000) ArticleTitleLand-cover-change trajectories in southern cameroon Annals of the Association of American Geographers 90 467–494
B. Mertens W.D. Sunderlin O. Ndoye E.F. Lambin (2000) ArticleTitleImpact of macroeconomic change on deforestation in south cameroon: Integration of Household Survey and Remotely-Sensed Data World Development 28 983–999
Miller E.J., Kriger D.S. and Hunt J.D., 1999: TCRP Web Document 9: Integrated Urban Models for Simulation of Transit and Land-Use Policies: Final Report, University of Toronto Joint Program in Transportation and DELCAN Corporation, Toronto
E.F. Moran (2000) Progress in the last ten years in the study of land use/cover change and the outlook for the next decade A. Diekmann T. Dietz C.C. Jaeger E.A. Rosa (Eds) Studying the Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change MIT Press Cambridge
Munroe D., Southworth J. and Tucker C.M., 2001: The dynamics of land-cover change in western honduras: Spatial Autocorrelation and Temporal Variation. Presented at the American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting, Chicago, Il
G.C. Nelson D. Hellerstein (1997) ArticleTitleDo roads cause deforestation? Using satellite images in econometric analysis of land use American Journal of Agricultural Economics 79 IssueID12 80–88
R.V. O’Neill A.R. Johnson A.W. King (1989) ArticleTitleA hierarchical framework for the analysis of scale Landscape Ecology 3 193–205
R.V. O’Neill A.W. King (1998) Homage to St. Michael; or, Why Are Ther So Many Books on Scale? D.L. Peterson V.T. Parker Particle16 (Eds) Ecological Scale: Theory and Applications Columbia University Press New York 3
K. Pahari S. Marai (1999) ArticleTitleModelling for prediction of global deforestation based on the growth of human population ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry & Remote Sensing 54 317–324
G. Petschel-Held A. Block M. Cassel-Gintz J. Kropp M.K.B. Ludeke O. Moldenhauer F. Reusswig H.J. Schellnhuber (1999) ArticleTitleSyndromes of global change; a qualitative modelling approach to assist global environmental management Environmental Modeling and Assessment 4 295–314
A.S.P. Pfaff (1999) ArticleTitleWhat Drives Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon? Evidence from Satellite and Socioeconomic Data Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 37 25–43
Pijanowski B.C., Gage S.H., Long D.T. and Cooper W.C., 2000: A land transformation model for the Saginaw Bay Watershed. In: Sanderson J. and Harris L.D., (eds.), Landscape Ecology: A Top Down Approach Lewis Publishing
J.G. Polhill N.M. Gotts A.N.R. Law (2001) ArticleTitleImitative versus nonimitative strategies in a land-use simulation Cybernetics and Systems 32 285–307
C. Polsky W.E. Easterling SuffixIII (2001) ArticleTitleRicardian climate sensitivities: accounting for adaptation across scales Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85 133–144
R.G. Pontius (2000) ArticleTitleQuantification error versus location error in comparison of categorical maps Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing 66 1011–1016
R.G. Pontius J.D. Cornell C.A.S. Hall (2001) ArticleTitleModeling the spatial pattern of land-use change with GEOMOD2: application and validation for Costa Rica Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85 191–203
R.G. Pontius L.C. Schneider (2001) ArticleTitleLand-use change model validation by an ROC method for the Ipswich watershed, Massachusetts, USA Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85 239–248
J. Priess G.H.J. Koning (2001) ArticleTitleAssessment of interactions between land use change and carbon and nutrient fluxes Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85 269–280
S.H. Putman (1983) Integrated Urban Models: Policy Analysis of Transportation and Land Use Pion London
M. Rabin (1998) ArticleTitlePsychology and Economics Journal of Economic Literature. 36 11–46
R.A. Rastetter A.W. King B.J. Cosby G.M. Hornberger R.V. O’Neill J.E. Hobbie (1992) ArticleTitleAggregating fine-scale ecological knowledge to model coarse-scale attributes of ecosystems Ecological Applications 2 55–70
W.E. Riebsame W.J. Parton (1994) ArticleTitleIntegrated modeling of land use and cover change Bioscience 44 350–357
J. Rotmans M.B.A. Asselt Particlevan (2001) ArticleTitleUncertainty management in integrated assessment modeling: towards a pluralistic approach Envrionmental Monitoring and Assessment 69 101–130
J. Rouchier F. Bousquet M. Requier-Desjardins M. Antona (2001) ArticleTitleA multi-agent model for describing transhumance in North Cameroon: Comparison of different rationality to develop a routine Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control 25 527–559
R. Ruben H. Moll A. Kuyvenhoven (1998) ArticleTitleIntegrating agricultural research and policy analysis: Analytical framework and policy applications for bio-economic modelling Agricultural Systems 58 331–349
L. Sanders D. Pumain H. Mathian F. Guerin-Pace S. Bura (1997) ArticleTitleSIMPOP: a multiagent system for the study of urbanism Envrionment and Planning B 24 287–305
L.C. Schneider R.G. Pontius (2001) ArticleTitleModeling land-use change in the Ipswich Watershed, Massachusetts, USA Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85 83–94
S.H. Schneider (1997) ArticleTitleIntegrated assessment modeling of global climate change: Transparent rational tool for policy making or opaque screen hiding value-laden assumptions? Environmental Modeling and Assessment 2 229–249
R. Schulze (2000) ArticleTitleTranscending scales of space and time in impact studies of climate and climate change on agrohydrological responses Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 82 185–212
S. Serneels E.F. Lambin (2001) ArticleTitleProximate causes of land use change in Narok district Kenya: a spatial statistical model Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85 65–81
D.Z. Sui H. Zeng (2001) ArticleTitleModeling the dynamcs of landscape structure in Asia’s emerging desakota regions: a case study in Shenzhen Landscape and Urban Planning 53 37–52
L. Tesfatsion (2001) ArticleTitleIntroduction to the special issue on agent-based computational economics Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control 25 281–293
Turner II B.L., Ross R.H., Skole D.L. (1993). Relating land use and global land cover change. IGDP report no. 24; HDP report no.5
Turner II B.L., Skole D.L., Sanderson S., Fischer G., Fresco L.O., Leemans R. (1995). Land-Use and Land-Cover Change - Science/Research Plan. IGBP Report No. 35; HDP Report No. 7. Stockholm and Geneva
M.G. Turner D.N. Wear R.O. Flamm (1996) ArticleTitleLand Ownership and Land-Cover Change in the Southern Appalachian Highlands and the Olympic Peninsula Ecological Applications 6 1150–1172
A. Veen Particlevan der J. Rotmans (2001) ArticleTitleDutch perspectives on “Agents, Regions and Land Use Change” Environmental Modeling and Assessment 6 83–86
M.K. Ittersum ParticleVan R. Rabbinge H.C. Latesteijn ParticleVan (1998) ArticleTitleExploratory land use studies and their role in strategic policy making Agricultural Systems 58 309–330
J.K. Vanclay (1998) ArticleTitleFLORES: for exploring land use options in forested landscapes Agroforestry forum 9 47–52
A. Veldkamp L.O. Fresco (1996) ArticleTitleCLUE-CR: an integrated multi-scale model to simulate land use change scenarios in Costa Rica Ecological Modelling 91 231–248
A. Veldkamp L.O. Fresco (1997) ArticleTitleReconstructing land use drivers and their spatial scale dependence for Costa Rica Agricultural Systems 55 19–43
A. Veldkamp E.F. Lambin (2001) ArticleTitleEditorial: Predicting land-use change Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85 1–6
P.H. Verburg Y.Q. Chen (2000) ArticleTitleMulti-scale characterization of land-use patterns in China Ecosystems 3 369–385
P.H. Verburg W. Soepboer R. Limpiada M.V.O. Espaldon M. Sharifa (2002) ArticleTitleLand use change modelling at the regional scale: the CLUE-S model Environmental Management 30 IssueID3 391–405
P.H. Verburg A. Veldkamp J. Bouma (1999) ArticleTitleLand use change under conditions of high population pressure: the case of Java Global Environmental Change 9 303–312
P.H. Verburg A. Veldkamp G.H.J. Koning Particlede K. Kok J. Bouma (1999) ArticleTitleA spatial explicit allocation procedure for modelling the pattern of land use change based upon actual land use Ecological Modelling 116 45–61
P.H. Verburg T.C.M. Nijs Particlede J. Ritsemavan Eck H. Visser K. Jong Particlede (2004) ArticleTitleA method to analyse neighbourhood characteristics of land use patterns Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 28 IssueID6 667–690
A. Voinov R. Costanza L.A. Wainger R. Boumans F. Villa T. Maxwell H. Voinov (1999) ArticleTitlePatuxent landscape model: integrated ecological economic modeling of a watershed Environmental Modelling & Software 14 473–491
P. Waddell (2000) ArticleTitleA behavioral simulation model for metropolitan policy analysis and planning: residential location and housing market components of UrbanSim Environment and Planning B 27 247–263
R. Walker E.F. Moran L. Anselin (2000) ArticleTitleDeforestation and cattle ranching in the brazilian amazon: External Capital and Household Processes World Development 28 683–699
S.J. Walsh T.W. Crawford K.A. Crews-Meyer W.F. Welsh (2001) ArticleTitleA Multi scale Analysis of Land use Land cover change and NDVI Variation in Nang Rong District, Northeast Thailand Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85 47–64
S.J. Walsh T.P. Evans W.F. Welsh B. Entwisle R.R. Rindfuss (1999) ArticleTitleScale-Dependent Relationships between Population and Environment in Northeastern Thailand Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing 65 97–105
S.J. Walsh K.A. Crews-Meyer (Eds) (2002) Linking People, Place, and Policy A GIScience Approach Kluwer Academic Publishers Boston/Dordrecht/London
M.K. Watson (1978) ArticleTitleThe scale problem in human geography Geografiska Annaler 60 36–47
D.N. Wear P. Bolstad (1998) ArticleTitleLand-use changes in Southern Appalachian Landscapes: spatial analysis and forecast evaluation Ecosystems 1 575–594
R. White G. Engelen (2000) ArticleTitleHigh-resolution integrated modelling of the spatial dynamics of urban and regional systems Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 24 383–400
R. White G. Engelen I. Uijee (1997) ArticleTitleThe use of constrained cellular automata for high-resolution modelling of urban land-use dynamics Environment and Planning B 24 323–343
S. Wolfram (1986) Theory and Applications of Cellular Automata World Scientific Singapore
F. Wu (1998) ArticleTitleSimulating urban encroachment on rural land with fuzzy-logic-controlled cellular automata in a geographical information system Journal of Environmental Management 53 293–308
F. Wu (1999) ArticleTitleGIS-based simulation as an exploratory analysis for space-time processes Journal of Geographical Systems 1 199–218
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Verburg, P.H., Schot, P.P., Dijst, M.J. et al. Land use change modelling: current practice and research priorities. GeoJournal 61, 309–324 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-004-4946-y
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-004-4946-y